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Nate Silver Quotes

People still don’t appreciate how ephemeral success is Picture Quote #1

Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately Picture Quote #1

Accountability doesn’t mean apologizing Picture Quote #1

A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news Picture Quote #1

Voters memories will fade some Picture Quote #1

Success makes you less intimidated by things Picture Quote #1

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A lot of things can’t be modeled very well Picture Quote #1

I don’t think you should limit what you read Picture Quote #1

I’m not trying to do anything too tricky Picture Quote #1

A lot of the time nothing happens in a day Picture Quote #1

I think punditry serves no purpose Picture Quote #1

You don’t want to treat any one person as oracular Picture Quote #1

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I love South American food, and I haven’t really been down there. I really need a vacation Picture Quote #1

I was looking for something like baseball, where there’s a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That’s when I discovered politics Picture Quote #1

A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn’t work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view Picture Quote #1

Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie Picture Quote #1

We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way Picture Quote #1

Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it’s a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline Picture Quote #1

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Shakespeare’s plays often turn on the idea of fate, as much drama does. What makes them so tragic is the gap between what his characters might like to accomplish and what fate provides them Picture Quote #1

If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can’t acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public Picture Quote #1

We look at all the polls, not just the Gallup Poll. So, it’s kind of like if you have, you know, four out of five doctors agree that reducing cholesterol reduces your risk of a heart attack, Gallup is like the fifth doctor Picture Quote #1

The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake Picture Quote #1

Any one game in baseball doesn’t tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn’t tell you that much Picture Quote #1

...the ratings agencies’ problem was in being unable or uninterested in appreciating the distinction between risk and uncertainty Picture Quote #1

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When you get into statistical analysis, you don’t really expect to achieve fame. Or to become an Internet meme. Or be parodied by ‘The Onion’ - or be the subject of a cartoon in ‘The New Yorker.’ I guess I’m kind of an outlier there Picture Quote #1

I don’t play fantasy baseball anymore now because it’s too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I’m pretty serious about my fantasy football, though Picture Quote #1

You can build a statistical model and that’s all well and good, but if you’re dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you’re making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects Picture Quote #1

Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that’s what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent signal or noise Picture Quote #1

First of all, I think it’s odd that people who cover politics wouldn’t have any political views Picture Quote #1

When a possibility is unfamiliar to us, we do not even think about it Picture Quote #1

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Text Quotes

People still don’t appreciate how ephemeral success is (Nate Silver Quotes) Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately (Nate Silver Quotes) Accountability doesn’t mean apologizing (Nate Silver Quotes) A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news (Nate Silver Quotes) Voters memories will fade some (Nate Silver Quotes) Success makes you less intimidated by things (Nate Silver Quotes) A lot of things can’t be modeled very well (Nate Silver Quotes) I don’t think you should limit what you read (Nate Silver Quotes) I’m not trying to do anything too tricky (Nate Silver Quotes) A lot of the time nothing happens in a day (Nate Silver Quotes) I think punditry serves no purpose (Nate Silver Quotes) You don’t want to treat any one person as oracular (Nate Silver Quotes) I love South American food, and I haven’t really been down there. I really need a vacation (Nate Silver Quotes) I was looking for something like baseball, where there’s a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That’s when I discovered politics (Nate Silver Quotes) A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn’t work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view (Nate Silver Quotes) Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie (Nate Silver Quotes) We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way (Nate Silver Quotes) Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it’s a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline (Nate Silver Quotes) Shakespeare’s plays often turn on the idea of fate, as much drama does. What makes them so tragic is the gap between what his characters might like to accomplish and what fate provides them (Nate Silver Quotes) If the state polls are right, then Mr. Obama will win the Electoral College. If you can’t acknowledge that after a day when Mr. Obama leads 19 out of 20 swing-state polls, then you should abandon the pretense that your goal is to inform rather than entertain the public (Nate Silver Quotes) We look at all the polls, not just the Gallup Poll. So, it’s kind of like if you have, you know, four out of five doctors agree that reducing cholesterol reduces your risk of a heart attack, Gallup is like the fifth doctor (Nate Silver Quotes) The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake (Nate Silver Quotes) Any one game in baseball doesn’t tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn’t tell you that much. (Nate Silver Quotes) ...the ratings agencies’ problem was in being unable or uninterested in appreciating the distinction between risk and uncertainty. (Nate Silver Quotes) When you get into statistical analysis, you don’t really expect to achieve fame. Or to become an Internet meme. Or be parodied by ‘The Onion’ - or be the subject of a cartoon in ‘The New Yorker.’ I guess I’m kind of an outlier there (Nate Silver Quotes) I don’t play fantasy baseball anymore now because it’s too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I’m pretty serious about my fantasy football, though. (Nate Silver Quotes) You can build a statistical model and that’s all well and good, but if you’re dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you’re making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects. (Nate Silver Quotes) Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that’s what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent signal or noise (Nate Silver Quotes) First of all, I think it’s odd that people who cover politics wouldn’t have any political views. (Nate Silver Quotes) When a possibility is unfamiliar to us, we do not even think about it (Nate Silver Quotes)

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